This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$24.2K Volume
45%
None before 2027
$78.5K Volume
34%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$9.9K Volume
7%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$5.9K Volume
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$8.5K Volume
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$6.2K Volume
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$5.9K Volume
2%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$5.8K Volume
2%
Merz - German Chancellor
$4.9K Volume
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$9.2K Volume
3%
Trump - USA President
$4.6K Volume
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$6.4K Volume
1%
Putin - Russia President
$5.8K Volume
1%
Macron - France President
$8.5K Volume
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$7.4K Volume
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$4.3K Volume
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$5.3K Volume
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$3.9K Volume
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$5.3K Volume
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$4.6K Volume
1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$5.6K Volume
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$5.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)?
The current front-runner is Netanyahu - Israel PM at 45%, ahead of None before 2027 at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)?
Traders currently imply a 45% chance for Netanyahu - Israel PM. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (125 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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