This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
None before 2027
$335.6K Volume
62%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$523.2K Volume
15%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$81.6K Volume
10%
Lecornu - France PM
$58K Volume
5%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$61.6K Volume
1%
Trump - USA President
$65.3K Volume
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$62.1K Volume
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$88.9K Volume
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$73K Volume
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$69.2K Volume
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$64.7K Volume
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$66.5K Volume
1%
Putin - Russia President
$66.3K Volume
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$63.3K Volume
1%
Macron - France President
$80.1K Volume
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$59.2K Volume
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$90.5K Volume
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$78.4K Volume
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$65.5K Volume
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$65K Volume
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$72.2K Volume
1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$57.9K Volume
1%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next leader out of power before 2027?
The current front-runner is None before 2027 at 62%, ahead of Netanyahu - Israel PM at 14%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next leader out of power before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 62% chance for None before 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next leader out of power before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (59 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next leader out of power before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $18.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next leader out of power before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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