This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$25.1K Volume
99%
Macron - France President
$3.3K Volume
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$3.8K Volume
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$15K Volume
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$13.9K Volume
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$3.6K Volume
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$4.3K Volume
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$4.3K Volume
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$4.4K Volume
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$4.9K Volume
1%
Trump - USA President
$14.4K Volume
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$15.7K Volume
1%
Putin - Russia President
$256.1K Volume
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$2.7K Volume
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$5.8K Volume
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$3.7K Volume
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$3.9K Volume
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$3.3K Volume
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$8.2K Volume
1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$3K Volume
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$6.6K Volume
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$3.7K Volume
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$7.1K Volume
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$3.5K Volume
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$3.1K Volume
1%
None before 2027
$11.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved)?
$8.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
Similar Markets
Mojtaba Khamenei82%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi5%YesNo
Starmer - UK PM98%YesNo
Putin - Russia President1%YesNo
December 3137%YesNo
September 3021%YesNo
July 3149%YesNo
July 1713%YesNo
August 1524%YesNo
July 3116%YesNo
August 3122%YesNo
July 3111%YesNo
December 3149%YesNo
August 3135%YesNo
