This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$631.1K Volume
99%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$339.4K Volume
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$321.9K Volume
1%
Macron - France President
$308K Volume
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$280.4K Volume
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$497.6K Volume
1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$654.4K Volume
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$414K Volume
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$344.4K Volume
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$377.9K Volume
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$289.7K Volume
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$592.5K Volume
1%
Trump - USA President
$488.5K Volume
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$472.8K Volume
1%
Putin - Russia President
$358.2K Volume
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$358.3K Volume
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$455.7K Volume
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$425.6K Volume
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$337.3K Volume
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$394.4K Volume
1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$343.9K Volume
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$513K Volume
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$357.1K Volume
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$474.7K Volume
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$366.5K Volume
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$304.3K Volume
1%
None before 2027
$357.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market has already resolved. The final outcome was settled under Polymarket's published resolution criteria.
How much money is trading on Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved)?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
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