This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro - Venezuela President
$194.8K Volume
99%
Macron - France President
$58.8K Volume
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$38.7K Volume
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$78.5K Volume
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$49K Volume
1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$194.4K Volume
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$78.8K Volume
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$42.7K Volume
1%
Newsom - California Governor
$71.1K Volume
1%
Milei - Argentina President
$46.6K Volume
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$46K Volume
1%
Trump - USA President
$79.6K Volume
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$49.4K Volume
1%
Putin - Russia President
$38.3K Volume
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$66.3K Volume
1%
al-Assad - Syria President
$5.8K Volume
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$63K Volume
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$67.9K Volume
1%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$73.3K Volume
1%
None before 2027
$62.5K Volume
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$41.2K Volume
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$42.7K Volume
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$35.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next leader out of power before 2027? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $6.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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