This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
10
posts so far
· pace 70
160-179
$11K Volume
19%
140-159
$28.3K Volume
17%
180-199
$13.1K Volume
16%
200-219
$16.3K Volume
11%
120-139
$35.1K Volume
10%
220-239
$11.8K Volume
8%
100-119
$30.5K Volume
7%
240-259
$11K Volume
5%
80-99
$28.4K Volume
3%
260-279
$9.4K Volume
3%
280-299
$14.1K Volume
2%
60-79
$48.2K Volume
1%
300-319
$21.3K Volume
1%
320-339
$23.9K Volume
1%
360-379
$32.6K Volume
1%
<20
$28.6K Volume
1%
20-39
$18.2K Volume
1%
40-59
$37.4K Volume
1%
340-359
$29.5K Volume
1%
380-399
$34.1K Volume
1%
400-419
$34.9K Volume
1%
420-439
$41.1K Volume
1%
440-459
$54.8K Volume
1%
460-479
$31.4K Volume
1%
480-499
$21.4K Volume
1%
500+
$58.4K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 160-179 trades at 19%, 140-159 at 17%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 160-179 at 19% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 10 Jul 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
Traders have put $1.3M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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