This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No next Home Secretary in 2026
$23.3K Volume
88%
Yvette Cooper
$2.6K Volume
8%
Mike Tapp
$208 Volume
3%
Stephen Kinnock
$220 Volume
2%
Pat McFadden
$257 Volume
1%
Ed Miliband
$527 Volume
1%
David Lammy
$254 Volume
1%
Jess Phillips
$375 Volume
1%
Dan Jarvis
$266 Volume
1%
Angela Rayner
$278 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?
At 88%, No next Home Secretary in 2026 has pulled far clear of John Healey (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?
Traders price No next Home Secretary in 2026 at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Next UK Home Secretary in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (176 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?
$28.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next UK Home Secretary in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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