Science · Earthquakes

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? (Resolved)

$30K Volume
31/05/2026 00:00
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$16.4K Volume
1%
1
$9.2K Volume
99%
2
$7.9K Volume
1%
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$2.3K Volume
1%
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$4.1K Volume
1%
5
$2.4K Volume
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>5
$7.2K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Odds & FAQ

When does the How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $30K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

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