Science · Weather

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

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$8K Volume

31/07/2026 23:59

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1800+

$1.5K Volume

96%

2000+

$1.6K Volume

97%

2500+

$881 Volume

86%

3000+

$3.2K Volume

67%

5000+

$926 Volume

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

2000+ dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, 1800+, trades at just 96%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Traders price 2000+ at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31 market resolve?

Mark 31 Jul 2026 (17 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Traders have put $8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.