Science · Culture

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

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$721.6K Volume

30/07/2026 00:00

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Jacob Tsimerman

$72.9K Volume

99%

Yu Deng

$185.6K Volume

97%

Hong Wang

$145.8K Volume

97%

John Pardon

$105.1K Volume

98%

Jack Thorne

$107.9K Volume

Alexander Efimov

$2.8K Volume

Will Sawin

$4.7K Volume

Julian Sahasrabudhe

$87.8K Volume

Vesselin Dimitrov

$660 Volume

Sam Raskin

$4.3K Volume

Aleksandr Logunov

$4.1K Volume

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

At 98%, Jacob Tsimerman has pulled far clear of John Pardon (97%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

With 98% implied for Jacob Tsimerman, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal market resolve?

Mark 30 Jul 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$721.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.