Politics · gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$379.3K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Texas
$19.6K Volume
99%
Florida
$7K Volume
98%
California
$17K Volume
96%
North Carolina
$11.8K Volume
97%
Ohio
$7.3K Volume
99%
Louisiana
$16K Volume
94%
Utah
$93.4K Volume
91%
Missouri
$4.5K Volume
91%
Alabama
$16.6K Volume
90%
New York
$18K Volume
16%
Georgia
$8.5K Volume
6%
Indiana
$31.9K Volume
6%
Washington
$10K Volume
5%
Maryland
$15.9K Volume
5%
New Jersey
$5.2K Volume
4%
Illinois
$11.7K Volume
4%
Virginia
$8.9K Volume
3%
Minnesota
$10.5K Volume
3%
Wisconsin
$22.4K Volume
3%
Nebraska
$7K Volume
4%
Kansas
$7.4K Volume
4%
South Carolina
$28.6K Volume
4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
At 99%, Texas has pulled far clear of Florida (98%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
With 99% implied for Texas, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (96 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Traders have put $379.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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