Alaska Midterm · Senate midterms

Alaska Senate Election Winner

$356.6K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Mary Peltola
$173.6K Volume
61%
Dan Sullivan
$101.4K Volume
41%
Ann Diener
$35.5K Volume
1%
Dustin Darden
$23.2K Volume
1%
Richard Grayson
$22.9K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Alaska Senate Election Winner?
No runaway leader here - Mary Peltola at 60% versus Dan Sullivan at 41%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Alaska Senate Election Winner?
At 60% implied for Mary Peltola, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Alaska Senate Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (119 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Alaska Senate Election Winner?
$356.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Alaska Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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