This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 3%, while No trades at 97%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 3%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Jerome Powell in jail before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Jerome Powell in jail before 2027 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
0 (0 bps)79%YesNo
1 (25 bps)16%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause86%YesNo
Other15%YesNo
October Meeting47%YesNo
September Meeting44%YesNo
Other48%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause46%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause55%YesNo
Other44%YesNo



