This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Weather
· climate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
≤6
$742 Volume
22%
7
$8 Volume
14%
8
14%
9
16%
10
$9 Volume
12%
11
11%
12
$40 Volume
8%
13
$14 Volume
9%
more than 13
$150 Volume
18%
Resolution Source: earthquake.usgs.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
Even the leader is cheap - ≤6 trades at 22%, more than 13 at 16%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
No strong consensus yet: ≤6 tops the implied probabilities at just 22%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (9 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
Traders have put $24K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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