This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
9°C or below
$560 Volume
1%
10°C
$548 Volume
1%
11°C
$844 Volume
1%
12°C
$531 Volume
1%
13°C
$3.5K Volume
1%
14°C
$4.8K Volume
1%
15°C
$12.6K Volume
1%
16°C
$13K Volume
1%
17°C
$8.3K Volume
97%
18°C
$5.4K Volume
9%
19°C or higher
$3.6K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
17°C dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, 18°C, trades at just 6%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
With 94% implied for 17°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23 market resolve?
The market runs until 23 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
$75.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Wellington on August 23 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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