This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Weather
· climate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16? (Resolved)
≤6
$8.1K Volume
1%
7
$1.4K Volume
1%
8
$1.1K Volume
1%
9
$1.7K Volume
1%
10
$1.4K Volume
1%
11
$2.9K Volume
1%
12
$4.4K Volume
1%
13
$5.2K Volume
1%
>13
$17.6K Volume
99%
Resolution Source: earthquake.usgs.gov
Odds & FAQ
When does the How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $24K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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