Economy · Jerome Powell

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

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$128 Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Dec 31, 2025 Apr 30, 2025

Dec 31

4.8%

$59.9K Volume

83%

5.0%

$82.7K Volume

18%

5.2%

$26.4K Volume

11%

5.5%

$5.8K Volume

5.7%

$4.3K Volume

6.0%

$3.2K Volume

Resolved 4

4.5%

$37.4K Volume

Yes

4.6%

$41.9K Volume

Yes

4.4%

$20.9K Volume

Yes

4.3%

$6K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

The current front-runner is 4.8% at 74%, ahead of 5.0% at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Traders currently imply a 74% chance for 4.8%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Total traded volume on this market is $128, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 on Polymarket?

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