This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Past
4.8%
$53.7K Volume
19%
5.0%
$60.9K Volume
10%
5.2%
$18.5K Volume
4%
5.5%
$2.6K Volume
5%
5.7%
$3.8K Volume
4%
6.0%
$2.5K Volume
3%
Resolved 4
4.5%
$37.4K Volume
Yes
4.6%
$41.9K Volume
Yes
4.4%
$20.9K Volume
Yes
4.3%
$6K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Even the leader is cheap - 4.8% trades at 17%, 5.0% at 9%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is 4.8% at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Total turnover stands at $1.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
No change86%YesNo25 bps increase15%YesNo
0 (0 bps)78%YesNo
1 (25 bps)15%YesNo
No change57%YesNo25 bps increase39%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause86%YesNo
Other15%YesNo
October Meeting47%YesNo
September Meeting44%YesNo
Other48%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause46%YesNo
No change71%YesNo
25 bps increase16%YesNo
