This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Yes is the outsider here at 15%, while No trades at 86%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 15%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Oct 2026 (84 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
$1.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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