This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Traders currently imply a 6% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Oct 2026 (37 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Total traded volume on this market is $5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.





