Supreme Court · Courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

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$634.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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December 31

$408K Volume

32%

September 30

$143.5K Volume

17%

July 15

$40.3K Volume

June 30, 2027

$453 Volume

72%

Resolved 2

February 28

$15.1K Volume

March 31

$27K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?

The front-runner right now is June 30, 2027 at 63%, ahead of December 31 at 32%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.

What do traders predict for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?

The market gives June 30, 2027 a 63% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.

When does the Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by market resolve?

It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (183 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?

Total traded volume on this market is $634.4K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.

How can I trade Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by on Polymarket?

Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.