This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
September 30
$1M Volume
2%
December 31
$816.5K Volume
6%
June 30, 2027
$47.3K Volume
38%
Resolved 3
February 28
$15.1K Volume
No
March 31
$27K Volume
No
July 15
$1.6M Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?
Even the leader is cheap - June 30, 2027 trades at 36%, December 31 at 6%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?
No strong consensus yet: June 30, 2027 tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jul 2027 (312 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by?
Traders have put $3.5M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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