This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$125 Volume
1%
20-39
$88 Volume
1%
40-59
$487 Volume
12%
60-79
$108 Volume
1%
80-99
$389 Volume
12%
100-119
$302 Volume
18%
120-139
$199 Volume
23%
140-159
$167 Volume
14%
160-179
$89 Volume
10%
180-199
$90 Volume
9%
200+
$271 Volume
11%
Resolution Source: truthsocial.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 120-139 trades at 23%, 100-119 at 17%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 120-139 tops the implied probabilities at just 23%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 4 Aug 2026 (10 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
Traders have put $5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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