Nurullo Aliev enters the lightweight prelim matchup at UFC Fight Night in Abu Dhabi on July 25 as the clear market favorite, riding an 11-0 professional record with three straight UFC wins by decision over Shem Rock, Joe Solecki, and Rafael Alves. The Tajik prospect brings strong freestyle wrestling and durable cardio into a three-round bout against Mike Davis, whose 12-3 ledger includes a recent TKO rebound but also a unanimous-decision loss to Fares Ziam and periods of inactivity from injuries and cancellations. Davis, a veteran with UFC experience and Fight of the Night pedigree, represents the primary upset path through volume striking or late adjustments, yet the two-week timeline to fight week leaves little room for major roster shifts or weigh-in issues. Current pricing reflects consensus on Aliev’s undefeated trajectory and recent form against the American’s experience edge.
This market will resolve to "Mike Davis" if Mike Davis is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
