This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$352 Volume
1%
20-39
$313 Volume
1%
40-59
$229 Volume
8%
60-79
$57 Volume
9%
80-99
$299 Volume
18%
100-119
$215 Volume
22%
120-139
$93 Volume
20%
140-159
$27 Volume
12%
160-179
$36 Volume
8%
180-199
$36 Volume
10%
200+
$32 Volume
14%
Resolution Source: truthsocial.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
The field is wide open: 100-119 tops it at just 22%, with 120-139 close behind at 19%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 100-119 tops the implied probabilities at just 22%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $31.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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