This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
15
posts so far
· pace 105
100-119
$341 Volume
28%
80-99
$383 Volume
22%
120-139
$357 Volume
53%
140-159
$287 Volume
39%
160-179
$345 Volume
22%
200+
$251 Volume
35%
60-79
$150 Volume
4%
180-199
$185 Volume
18%
<20
$1.2K Volume
1%
20-39
$445 Volume
1%
40-59
$85 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: truthsocial.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?
The field is wide open: 120-139 tops it at just 34%, with 100-119 close behind at 25%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 120-139 tops the implied probabilities at just 34%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Jul 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?
$21.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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