This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
September 30
$236K Volume
3%
December 31
$87.4K Volume
18%
Resolved 1
June 30
$607K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31 trades at 17%, September 30 at 2%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31 at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (154 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by?
Total turnover stands at $930.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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