Mercati di previsione sulle elezioni

I mercati elettorali sono il cuore di Polymarket: presidenziali USA, primarie di partito, corse al Congresso e il voto di qualsiasi grande democrazia. I mercati sulle elezioni USA del 2024 hanno registrato miliardi di volume.

Il prezzo combina sondaggi, dati sui finanziamenti dei partiti, indicatori economici e cronaca, tutto sintetizzato in un unico valore. Un terreno di trading ricco sia per gli analisti sia per gli investitori guidati dalle opinioni.

100 mercati attivi
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez22%SìNo
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff15%SìNo
$1,3 Mld Volume 07/11
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%SìNo
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%SìNo
$691,8 Mln Volume 07/11
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%SìNo
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%SìNo
$690,6 Mln Volume 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%SìNo
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%SìNo
$131,7 Mln Volume 04/10
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%SìNo
New People (NL)New People (NL)22%SìNo
$21,6 Mln Volume 20/09
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot57%SìNo
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu26%SìNo
$32,9 Mln Volume 31/12
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%SìNo
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%SìNo
$121 Mln Volume 30/04
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson93%SìNo
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson7%SìNo
$3,9 Mln Volume 13/09
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%SìNo
R Senate, D House39%SìNo
$10,4 Mln Volume 03/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%SìNo
September 3085%SìNo
$26,2 Mln Volume 31/08
Quale partito vincerà la Camera dei Rappresentanti nel 2026?Quale partito vincerà la Camera dei Rappresentanti nel 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%SìNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party13%SìNo
$45.734 Volume 03/11
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke59%SìNo
CDUCDU26%SìNo
$3,3 Mln Volume 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes96%SìNo
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas3%SìNo
$389.943 Volume 05/10
Maranhão Governor Election WinnerMaranhão Governor Election Winner
Eduardo BraideEduardo Braide53%SìNo
Orleans BrandãoOrleans Brandão47%SìNo
$60.307 Volume 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%SìNo
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%SìNo
$1,4 Mln Volume 13/09
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings37%SìNo
Anna KellyAnna Kelly14%SìNo
$135.814 Volume 31/12
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro87%SìNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%SìNo
$5,2 Mln Volume 04/10
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)63%SìNo
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)38%SìNo
$572.506 Volume 03/11
NY-03 House Election WinnerNY-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party93%SìNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party8%SìNo
$24.284 Volume 04/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ71%SìNo
CAQCAQ16%SìNo
$802.880 Volume 05/10
Alaska Senate Election WinnerAlaska Senate Election Winner
Mary PeltolaMary Peltola62%SìNo
Dan SullivanDan Sullivan40%SìNo
$447.286 Volume 03/11
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass65%SìNo
Nithya RamanNithya Raman35%SìNo
$13,4 Mln Volume 31/12
Quale partito vincerà il Senato nel 2026?Quale partito vincerà il Senato nel 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party50%SìNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party50%SìNo
$4 Mln Volume 03/11
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone96%SìNo
Ralph NormanRalph Norman5%SìNo
$16.303 Volume 3 giorni rimanenti
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%SìNo
September 3094%SìNo
$345.873 Volume 01/01
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Radovan ViškovićRadovan Višković21%SìNo
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%SìNo
$62.513 Volume
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Richland County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Richland County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone94%SìNo
Ralph NormanRalph Norman4%SìNo
$21.663 Volume 3 giorni rimanenti
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos56%SìNo
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado41%SìNo
$575.620 Volume 04/10
NY-05 House Election WinnerNY-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%SìNo
Republican Party1%SìNo
$62.233 Volume 03/11
NC-06 House Election WinnerNC-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%SìNo
Democratic Party9%SìNo
$46.430 Volume 03/11
Acre Senate Election: 2nd PlaceAcre Senate Election: 2nd Place
Mara RochaMara Rocha50%SìNo
Marcio BittarMarcio Bittar22%SìNo
$16.823 Volume 04/10
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei53%SìNo
Bia KicisBia Kicis23%SìNo
$22.357 Volume 04/10
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)52%SìNo
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)50%SìNo
$858.414 Volume 03/11
NC-12 House Election WinnerNC-12 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party6%SìNo
$58.492 Volume 03/11
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil57%SìNo
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé37%SìNo
$35.253 Volume 31/08
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%SìNo
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez16%SìNo
$115.164 Volume 31/03
Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?
Jongizizwe DlabathiJongizizwe Dlabathi24%SìNo
Khathutshelo RasilingwaneKhathutshelo Rasilingwane13%SìNo
$15.579 Volume 18/11
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer59%SìNo
Gracinha CaiadoGracinha Caiado26%SìNo
$20.360 Volume 04/10
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Helen ZilleHelen Zille64%SìNo
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane15%SìNo
$95.805 Volume 17/11
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone81%SìNo
Ralph NormanRalph Norman18%SìNo
$10.202 Volume 3 giorni rimanenti
South Dakota Senate Election WinnerSouth Dakota Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican96%SìNo
DemocratDemocrat2%SìNo
$22.407 Volume 03/11
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
FufucaFufuca35%SìNo
Roseana SarneyRoseana Sarney26%SìNo
$14.148 Volume 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson66%SìNo
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%SìNo
$15.089 Volume 13/09
Paraná Senate Election: 1st PlaceParaná Senate Election: 1st Place
Deltan DallagnolDeltan Dallagnol41%SìNo
Alexandre CuriAlexandre Curi31%SìNo
$11.476 Volume 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana44%SìNo
Marília CamposMarília Campos30%SìNo
$21.697 Volume 04/10
WA-08 House Election WinnerWA-08 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party96%SìNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party5%SìNo
$21.338 Volume 04/11
MA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Richard Neal80%SìNo
Jeromie Whalen17%SìNo
$30.460 Volume 01/09
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary WinnerOklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike MazzeiMike Mazzei78%SìNo
Gentner DrummondGentner Drummond23%SìNo
$524.697 Volume 2 giorni rimanenti
IN-03 House Election WinnerIN-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party96%SìNo
Democratic Party5%SìNo
$23.967 Volume 03/11
MA-06 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan KohDan Koh89%SìNo
Tram NguyenTram Nguyen11%SìNo
$110.637 Volume 01/09
Paraná Senate Election: 2nd PlaceParaná Senate Election: 2nd Place
Filipe BarrosFilipe Barros39%SìNo
Deltan DallagnolDeltan Dallagnol30%SìNo
$12.668 Volume 04/10
Roraima Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRoraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Teresa SuritaTeresa Surita32%SìNo
Helio BolsonaroHelio Bolsonaro28%SìNo
$15.653 Volume 04/10
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli50%SìNo
Rose de FreitasRose de Freitas20%SìNo
$13.393 Volume 04/10
DE-AL House Election WinnerDE-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party5%SìNo
$43.151 Volume 03/11
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$96.016 Volume 20/09
IN-06 House Election WinnerIN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%SìNo
Democratic Party5%SìNo
$37.184 Volume 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in RondôniaBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rondônia
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro97%SìNo
Escritor Augusto CuryEscritor Augusto Cury1%SìNo
$12.945 Volume 04/10
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro46%SìNo
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas18%SìNo
$16.906 Volume 06/06
Colima Governor Election WinnerColima Governor Election Winner
Rosa María Bayardo CabreraRosa María Bayardo Cabrera53%SìNo
Riult Rivera GutiérrezRiult Rivera Gutiérrez11%SìNo
$18.391 Volume 06/06
CA-36 House Election WinnerCA-36 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party5%SìNo
$33.475 Volume 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes57%SìNo
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa10%SìNo
$18.014 Volume 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva20%SìNo
Pedro PauloPedro Paulo15%SìNo
$22.907 Volume 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Lexington County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Lexington County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone88%SìNo
Ralph NormanRalph Norman9%SìNo
$20.549 Volume 3 giorni rimanenti
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party6%SìNo
$41.799 Volume 03/11
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva35%SìNo
Marvely Costanzo RangelMarvely Costanzo Rangel17%SìNo
$13.056 Volume 06/06
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33941%SìNo
340–35421%SìNo
$195.322 Volume 20/09
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina42%SìNo
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo16%SìNo
$11.741 Volume 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos68%SìNo
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%SìNo
$13.282 Volume 04/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
648%SìNo
524%SìNo
$16.470 Volume 03/11
Sinaloa Governor Election WinnerSinaloa Governor Election Winner
Imelda Castro CastroImelda Castro Castro45%SìNo
María Teresa Guerra OchoaMaría Teresa Guerra Ochoa17%SìNo
$14.038 Volume 06/06
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
Tim O'Hare66%SìNo
Alisa Simmons31%SìNo
$24.211 Volume 03/11
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
Brett Smiley53%SìNo
David Morales38%SìNo
$10.031 Volume 09/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in GoiásBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio BolsonaroFlavio Bolsonaro62%SìNo
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado36%SìNo
$33.099 Volume 04/10
OR-01 House Election WinnerOR-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party96%SìNo
Republican Party5%SìNo
$24.126 Volume 03/11
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro46%SìNo
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira28%SìNo
$11.052 Volume 04/10
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku49%SìNo
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali27%SìNo
$9.001 Volume 18/11
Pará Senate Election: 2nd PlacePará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Delegado Éder MauroDelegado Éder Mauro51%SìNo
Zequinha MarinhoZequinha Marinho24%SìNo
$15.282 Volume 04/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro71%SìNo
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei29%SìNo
$6.724 Volume 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva57%SìNo
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy22%SìNo
$16.894 Volume 04/10
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerAdamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Ahmed GaladimaAhmed Galadima48%SìNo
Maurice VunobolkiMaurice Vunobolki12%SìNo
$3.640 Volume 06/02
Campeche Governor Election WinnerCampeche Governor Election Winner
Pablo Gutiérrez LazarusPablo Gutiérrez Lazarus81%SìNo
Eliseo Fernández MontúfarEliseo Fernández Montúfar8%SìNo
$18.755 Volume 06/06
MD-02 House Election WinnerMD-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party5%SìNo
$24.172 Volume 03/11
NH-01 Democratic Primary WinnerNH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany ShaheenStefany Shaheen53%SìNo
Maura SullivanMaura Sullivan43%SìNo
$34.960 Volume 08/09
CA-22 House Election WinnerCA-22 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party87%SìNo
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%SìNo
$11.658 Volume 04/11
Piura Mayoral Election WinnerPiura Mayoral Election Winner
Miguel Gerardo Cueva CeliMiguel Gerardo Cueva Celi31%SìNo
Jorge Hilton Flores BazánJorge Hilton Flores Bazán15%SìNo
$13.949 Volume 04/10
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerOyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Abimbola AdekanmbiAbimbola Adekanmbi38%SìNo
Sharafadeen Abiodun AlliSharafadeen Abiodun Alli34%SìNo
$3.320 Volume 06/02
Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd PlaceAlagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place
Arthur LiraArthur Lira46%SìNo
RenanRenan37%SìNo
$8.816 Volume 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
62%
probabilità
Sì No
$162.045 Volume 20/09
Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?
Eva LindbergEva Lindberg85%SìNo
Jennie ForsblomJennie Forsblom2%SìNo
$16.497 Volume 13/09
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerKano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Abba Kabir YusufAbba Kabir Yusuf60%SìNo
Aminu Abdussalam GwarzoAminu Abdussalam Gwarzo37%SìNo
$3.887 Volume 06/02
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)84%SìNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)9%SìNo
$359.560 Volume 20/09
Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Styvenson ValentimStyvenson Valentim58%SìNo
Zenaide MaiaZenaide Maia17%SìNo
$11.700 Volume 04/10
CA-03 House Election WinnerCA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SìNo
Republican Party2%SìNo
$43.408 Volume 03/11
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)Troy Jackson (D)71%SìNo
Susan Collins (R)Susan Collins (R)31%SìNo
$1,2 Mln Volume 03/11
AL-03 House Election WinnerAL-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%SìNo
Democratic Party1%SìNo
$41.614 Volume 03/11
Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerSokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Ahmed AliyuAhmed Aliyu89%SìNo
Manir Muhammad Dan IyaManir Muhammad Dan Iya7%SìNo
$3.297 Volume 06/02
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)80%SìNo
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%SìNo
$479.575 Volume 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa36%SìNo
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%SìNo
$13.269 Volume 04/10
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerDelta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis OrohwedorOborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor83%SìNo
Ogboru Great OvedjeOgboru Great Ovedje8%SìNo
$2.926 Volume 06/02
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
556%SìNo
418%SìNo
$9.479 Volume 03/11
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FAQ sui mercati elettorali

Perché i mercati elettorali sono accurati?

Richiedono di "metterci del proprio": le persone puntano denaro sulle proprie idee, filtrando il rumore di bassa qualità. Maggiore è il volume, più affidabile è il prezzo.

Quali mercati elettorali sono attivi ora?

USA 2028, Israele (per data), elezioni locali nel Regno Unito e nell'UE, oltre alle primarie di partito. Segui la nostra pagina per gli aggiornamenti.

Come valuto il rischio nei mercati elettorali?

Controlla la liquidità (profondità dell'order book), la volatilità storica e la data della decisione. I mercati con poca liquidità tendono a un prezzo inefficiente.

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