Masoko ya Utabiri wa Uchaguzi

Masoko ya uchaguzi ni msingi wa Polymarket — uchaguzi wa rais wa Marekani, uchaguzi wa chama, mbio za bunge, na kura za demokrasia yoyote kubwa. Masoko ya uchaguzi ya Marekani ya 2024 yalipata mabilioni katika kiasi.

Bei inachanganya kura, data za fedha za chama, viashiria vya kiuchumi na ripoti — yote yakiwa yamechujwa kuwa bei moja. Ni eneo tajiri la biashara kwa wachambuzi na wawekezaji wanaoendeshwa na maoni.

84 masoko ya kazi
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%NdiyoHapana
$669.5M Kiasi 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2299%NdiyoHapana
July 2399%NdiyoHapana
$3.5M Kiasi 31/08
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%NdiyoHapana
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%NdiyoHapana
$1.25B Kiasi 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%NdiyoHapana
$115.3M Kiasi 04/10
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%NdiyoHapana
$678.2M Kiasi 07/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
44%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$686.5K Kiasi 03/01
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%NdiyoHapana
$115.8M Kiasi 30/04
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot49%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin Netanyahu38%NdiyoHapana
$29.1M Kiasi 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%NdiyoHapana
$15.9M Kiasi 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone71%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%NdiyoHapana
$364.9K Kiasi 11/08
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%NdiyoHapana
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%NdiyoHapana
$2.8M Kiasi 30/06
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%NdiyoHapana
$2.8M Kiasi 20/09
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3188%NdiyoHapana
September 3082%NdiyoHapana
$133.2K Kiasi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro76%NdiyoHapana
Renan SantosRenan Santos15%NdiyoHapana
$4.2M Kiasi 04/10
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%NdiyoHapana
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%NdiyoHapana
$40.4M Kiasi 03/11
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%NdiyoHapana
CDUCDU28%NdiyoHapana
$3.1M Kiasi 20/09
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%NdiyoHapana
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%NdiyoHapana
$1.3M Kiasi 13/09
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface74%NdiyoHapana
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%NdiyoHapana
$236.5K Kiasi 30/06
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%NdiyoHapana
RespublicaRespublica21%NdiyoHapana
$29.1K Kiasi 23/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%NdiyoHapana
$1.2M Kiasi 04/08
Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%NdiyoHapana
$16.3K Kiasi 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%NdiyoHapana
R Senate, D House41%NdiyoHapana
$8.8M Kiasi 03/11
Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?
December 3145%NdiyoHapana
July 311%NdiyoHapana
$15.6K Kiasi 31/12
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican59%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat42%NdiyoHapana
$158.3K Kiasi 03/11
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican76%NdiyoHapana
IndependentIndependent22%NdiyoHapana
$180.7K Kiasi 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%NdiyoHapana
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%NdiyoHapana
$102.4K Kiasi 14/08
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%NdiyoHapana
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%NdiyoHapana
$3.2M Kiasi 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig97%NdiyoHapana
Sian AstleySian Astley2%NdiyoHapana
$345.2K Kiasi 30/07
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%NdiyoHapana
$9.4K Kiasi 04/11
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican91%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat11%NdiyoHapana
$108.2K Kiasi 03/11
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins61%NdiyoHapana
James FishbackJames Fishback22%NdiyoHapana
$11.5K Kiasi 18/08
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass64%NdiyoHapana
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%NdiyoHapana
$13M Kiasi 31/12
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%NdiyoHapana
Binface 10–20%31%NdiyoHapana
$122K Kiasi 30/06
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
William AzaroffWilliam Azaroff30%NdiyoHapana
Ken SimKen Sim24%NdiyoHapana
$140.4K Kiasi 17/10
Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Seneti mwaka 2026?Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Seneti mwaka 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%NdiyoHapana
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 03/11
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso72%NdiyoHapana
Jessi EbbenJessi Ebben12%NdiyoHapana
$6.8K Kiasi 11/08
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican97%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat5%NdiyoHapana
$25.7K Kiasi 03/11
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Troy Jackson99%NdiyoHapana
Graham Platner1%NdiyoHapana
$815.7K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party3%NdiyoHapana
$40.1K Kiasi 03/11
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%NdiyoHapana
Evan PowerEvan Power26%NdiyoHapana
$6K Kiasi 18/08
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%NdiyoHapana
Chris ArmstrongChris Armstrong3%NdiyoHapana
$5.8K Kiasi 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%NdiyoHapana
RepublicanRepublican14%NdiyoHapana
$76.6K Kiasi 03/11
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos57%NdiyoHapana
Raquel Lyra32%NdiyoHapana
$17K Kiasi 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos67%NdiyoHapana
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%NdiyoHapana
$470.1K Kiasi 04/10
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH64%NdiyoHapana
BNBN36%NdiyoHapana
$10K Kiasi 01/08
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%NdiyoHapana
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%NdiyoHapana
$5.4K Kiasi 11/08
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%NdiyoHapana
Feely 20–25%10%NdiyoHapana
$22.6K Kiasi 04/08
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%NdiyoHapana
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane43%NdiyoHapana
$73.3K Kiasi 05/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush60%NdiyoHapana
Wesley BellWesley Bell42%NdiyoHapana
$88.1K Kiasi 04/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong78%NdiyoHapana
David CrowleyDavid Crowley11%NdiyoHapana
$211.7K Kiasi 11/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%NdiyoHapana
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%NdiyoHapana
$162.7K Kiasi 04/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%35%NdiyoHapana
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%20%NdiyoHapana
$291.6K Kiasi 04/10
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%34%NdiyoHapana
78-80%78-80%31%NdiyoHapana
$10.7K Kiasi 07/11
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%30%NdiyoHapana
50-53%19%NdiyoHapana
$30.3K Kiasi 20/09
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%NdiyoHapana
RepublicanRepublican33%NdiyoHapana
$1.1M Kiasi 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party12%NdiyoHapana
$14.8K Kiasi 03/11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$256.7K Kiasi 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens5%NdiyoHapana
$6K Kiasi 04/08
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford94%NdiyoHapana
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%NdiyoHapana
$3.8K Kiasi 18/08
Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Josh GreenJosh Green97%NdiyoHapana
David BourgoinDavid Bourgoin1%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi 08/08
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%NdiyoHapana
Bu Laia HillBu Laia Hill9%NdiyoHapana
$3.8K Kiasi 08/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%NdiyoHapana
James FishbackJames Fishback3%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 18/08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Don LemonDon Lemon14%NdiyoHapana
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%NdiyoHapana
$896.5K Kiasi 31/12
HI-02 Democratic Primary WinnerHI-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Jill TokudaJill Tokuda96%NdiyoHapana
Kirill BasinKirill Basin2%NdiyoHapana
$3.4K Kiasi 08/08
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun89%NdiyoHapana
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez12%NdiyoHapana
$13.8K Kiasi 04/08
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%NdiyoHapana
RepublicanRepublican32%NdiyoHapana
$128.8K Kiasi 03/11
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney77%NdiyoHapana
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar21%NdiyoHapana
$71.8K Kiasi 04/08
Florida Senate Election WinnerFlorida Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican89%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat12%NdiyoHapana
$60.1K Kiasi
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
41%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$180.4K Kiasi 06/09
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell52%NdiyoHapana
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth45%NdiyoHapana
$454.8K Kiasi 11/08
WA-05 Primary WinnersWA-05 Primary Winners
Michael BaumgartnerMichael Baumgartner98%NdiyoHapana
Carmela ConroyCarmela Conroy78%NdiyoHapana
$3.7K Kiasi 04/08
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%NdiyoHapana
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 13/09
WA-01 Primary WinnersWA-01 Primary Winners
Suzan DelBeneSuzan DelBene95%NdiyoHapana
Mary SilvaMary Silva63%NdiyoHapana
$3.2K Kiasi 04/08
TX-04 House Election WinnerTX-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party92%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party8%NdiyoHapana
$19.7K Kiasi 03/11
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%36%NdiyoHapana
Farage 70–80%27%NdiyoHapana
$84.1K Kiasi 30/06
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
12%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$136.5K Kiasi 31/12
Florida Democratic Senate Primary WinnerFlorida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander VindmanAlexander Vindman88%NdiyoHapana
Angie NixonAngie Nixon9%NdiyoHapana
$150.6K Kiasi 18/08
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party7%NdiyoHapana
$39.6K Kiasi 03/11
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party7%NdiyoHapana
$12.7K Kiasi 03/11
IL-17 House Election WinnerIL-17 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party92%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party8%NdiyoHapana
$12.7K Kiasi 04/11
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$101K Kiasi 30/09
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party89%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party10%NdiyoHapana
$21K Kiasi 03/11
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party92%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party7%NdiyoHapana
$7.8K Kiasi 03/11
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback <10%75%NdiyoHapana
Fishback 10–15%13%NdiyoHapana
$26K Kiasi 18/08
Pata zaidi kwenye Polymarket →

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Uchaguzi

Kwa nini masoko ya uchaguzi ni sahihi?

Yanahitaji 'ngozi kwenye mchezo' — watu wanaweka pesa kwenye maoni yao, wakichuja kelele zisizo za ubora. Kiasi kikubwa, bei inakuwa ya kuaminika zaidi.

Ni masoko gani ya uchaguzi yanayoendelea sasa?

Marekani 2028, Israel (kwa tarehe), uchaguzi wa mitaa wa Uingereza na EU, pamoja na uchaguzi wa chama. Fuata ukurasa wetu kwa sasisho.

Ninawezaje kupima hatari katika masoko ya uchaguzi?

Angalia likuiditi (kina cha kitabu cha maagizo), mabadiliko ya kihistoria, na tarehe ya uamuzi. Masoko yenye likuiditi finyu yanakabiliwa na bei zisizo bora.

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