Pasar Prediksi Pemilu

Pasar pemilu adalah inti dari Polymarket — pemilihan presiden AS, pemilihan partai, perlombaan kongres, dan suara dari setiap demokrasi besar. Pasar pemilu AS 2024 mencatat miliaran dalam volume.

Penetapan harga menggabungkan jajak pendapat, data keuangan partai, indikator ekonomi, dan laporan — semuanya disaring menjadi satu harga. Tanah perdagangan yang kaya bagi analis dan investor yang dipandu opini.

90 pasar aktif
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2299%YaTidak
July 2399%YaTidak
$3.7M Volume 31/08
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%YaTidak
$669.6M Volume 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%YaTidak
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YaTidak
$1.25B Volume 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%YaTidak
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%YaTidak
$115.4M Volume 04/10
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
42%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$703.6K Volume 03/01
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%YaTidak
$678.2M Volume 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%YaTidak
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%YaTidak
$115.8M Volume 30/04
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke34%YaTidak
CDUCDU27%YaTidak
$3.1M Volume 20/09
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot49%YaTidak
Benjamin Netanyahu38%YaTidak
$29.1M Volume 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%YaTidak
$15.9M Volume 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone70%YaTidak
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%YaTidak
$377.8K Volume 11/08
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Troy Jackson99%YaTidak
Shenna Bellows1%YaTidak
$857.8K Volume 4 hari tersisa
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3186%YaTidak
September 3082%YaTidak
$142.6K Volume
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%YaTidak
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%YaTidak
$2.8M Volume 30/06
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%YaTidak
$2.8M Volume 20/09
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl52%YaTidak
Aq JolAq Jol24%YaTidak
$38.1K Volume 23/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro74%YaTidak
Renan SantosRenan Santos16%YaTidak
$4.2M Volume 04/10
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%YaTidak
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%YaTidak
$40.4M Volume 03/11
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%YaTidak
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%YaTidak
$1.3M Volume 13/09
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%YaTidak
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%YaTidak
$3.3M Volume 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface75%YaTidak
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%YaTidak
$239.3K Volume 30/06
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
Sydney Kamlager-Dove97%YaTidak
Samantha Mota1%YaTidak
$16.7K Volume 03/11
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%YaTidak
$16K Volume 03/11
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig98%YaTidak
Sian AstleySian Astley1%YaTidak
$350.4K Volume 7 hari tersisa
Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?
December 3143%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$15.9K Volume 31/12
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%YaTidak
R Senate, D House41%YaTidak
$8.8M Volume 03/11
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican73%YaTidak
IndependentIndependent24%YaTidak
$182.5K Volume 03/11
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican59%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat43%YaTidak
$158.6K Volume 03/11
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$85.7K Volume 31/07
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican41%YaTidak
$1.9M Volume 07/11
Somaliland Parliamentary Election WinnerSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027No election before 202793%YaTidak
WaddaniWaddani5%YaTidak
$92.2K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%YaTidak
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu13%YaTidak
$3.2M Volume 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed80%YaTidak
Haley StevensHaley Stevens21%YaTidak
$1.2M Volume 04/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong80%YaTidak
David CrowleyDavid Crowley10%YaTidak
$218.7K Volume 11/08
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican90%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat11%YaTidak
$108.7K Volume 03/11
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%31%YaTidak
Binface <10%30%YaTidak
$125.8K Volume 30/06
PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election WinnerPA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Scott TimkoScott Timko80%YaTidak
Brandon DukesBrandon Dukes13%YaTidak
$8K Volume 18/08
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%YaTidak
Republican Party3%YaTidak
$42K Volume 03/11
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos55%YaTidak
Raquel Lyra43%YaTidak
$18.4K Volume 04/10
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican94%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat7%YaTidak
$26.3K Volume 03/11
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
William AzaroffWilliam Azaroff31%YaTidak
Ken SimKen Sim24%YaTidak
$140.5K Volume 17/10
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%YaTidak
Evan PowerEvan Power26%YaTidak
$6.8K Volume 18/08
2026 Chandler Mayoral Election Winner2026 Chandler Mayoral Election Winner
Matt Orlando96%YaTidak
Jeff Weninger3%YaTidak
$9.2K Volume 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican14%YaTidak
$76.6K Volume 03/11
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican33%YaTidak
$1.1M Volume 03/11
CA-44 House Election WinnerCA-44 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party2%YaTidak
$34.4K Volume 03/11
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
Aisha Wahab87%YaTidak
Melissa Hernandez6%YaTidak
$5.1K Volume 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush61%YaTidak
Wesley BellWesley Bell38%YaTidak
$89.8K Volume 04/08
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe52%YaTidak
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson27%YaTidak
$54.7K Volume 26/10
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH63%YaTidak
BNBN38%YaTidak
$10K Volume 01/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos67%YaTidak
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%YaTidak
$470.1K Volume 04/10
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone76%YaTidak
Ralph NormanRalph Norman13%YaTidak
$3.9K Volume 11/08
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%31%YaTidak
78-80%78-80%31%YaTidak
$11K Volume 07/11
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney80%YaTidak
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar21%YaTidak
$73.3K Volume 04/08
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
Jimmy Gomez50%YaTidak
Angela Gonzales-Torres44%YaTidak
$3.8K Volume 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)57%YaTidak
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)43%YaTidak
$615.8K Volume 03/11
ME-02 House Election WinnerME-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party62%YaTidak
Democratic Party36%YaTidak
$3.8K Volume 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ70%YaTidak
CAQCAQ15%YaTidak
$694.5K Volume 05/10
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles65%YaTidak
Charlie Hatcher34%YaTidak
$3.4K Volume 06/08
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%YaTidak
Democratic Party12%YaTidak
$14.8K Volume 03/11
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
12%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$137.4K Volume 31/12
FL-16 Republican Primary WinnerFL-16 Republican Primary Winner
Sydney Gruters98%YaTidak
Eddie Speir2%YaTidak
$3.3K Volume 18/08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Don LemonDon Lemon14%YaTidak
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%YaTidak
$896.9K Volume 31/12
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerTallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Loranne AusleyLoranne Ausley47%YaTidak
Jeremy MatlowJeremy Matlow33%YaTidak
$86.2K Volume 18/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%YaTidak
James FishbackJames Fishback3%YaTidak
$2.1M Volume 18/08
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell53%YaTidak
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth45%YaTidak
$455.1K Volume 11/08
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun89%YaTidak
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez11%YaTidak
$13.9K Volume 04/08
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican32%YaTidak
$128.8K Volume 03/11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
41%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$180.4K Volume 06/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins59%YaTidak
James FishbackJames Fishback22%YaTidak
$11.7K Volume 18/08
OH-05 House Election WinnerOH-05 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%YaTidak
Democratic Party7%YaTidak
$14.3K Volume 03/11
OH-11 House Election WinnerOH-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%YaTidak
Republican Party5%YaTidak
$24.7K Volume 03/11
OH-11 House Election WinnerOH-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%YaTidak
Republican Party5%YaTidak
$24.7K Volume 03/11
WA-01 Primary WinnersWA-01 Primary Winners
Mary SilvaMary Silva63%YaTidak
Suzan DelBeneSuzan DelBene52%YaTidak
$3.2K Volume 04/08
TX-04 House Election WinnerTX-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party92%YaTidak
Democratic Party8%YaTidak
$19.7K Volume 03/11
Florida Senate Election WinnerFlorida Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican89%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat12%YaTidak
$60.2K Volume
Likud Party Primary WinnerLikud Party Primary Winner
No Primary by Knesset Election49%YaTidak
Amir OhanaAmir Ohana32%YaTidak
$10.1K Volume 26/10
Clacton by-election: Margin of VictoryClacton by-election: Margin of Victory
Farage 60%+Farage 60%+37%YaTidak
Farage 40-60%Farage 40-60%35%YaTidak
$61.7K Volume 30/06
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%YaTidak
Republican Party7%YaTidak
$12.7K Volume 03/11
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)52%YaTidak
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)49%YaTidak
$106.5K Volume 03/11
DE-AL House Election WinnerDE-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party7%YaTidak
$6.4K Volume 03/11
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party89%YaTidak
Democratic Party10%YaTidak
$21K Volume 03/11
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
12%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$36.2K Volume 31/07
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party92%YaTidak
Republican Party7%YaTidak
$7.8K Volume 03/11
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
282%YaTidak
314%YaTidak
$23.1K Volume 31/12
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$101.2K Volume 30/09
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass64%YaTidak
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%YaTidak
$13M Volume 31/12
GA-09 House Election WinnerGA-09 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%YaTidak
Democratic Party7%YaTidak
$14.3K Volume 03/11
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%YaTidak
December 31, 20268%YaTidak
$2.5M Volume Berakhir hari ini
CA-16 House Election WinnerCA-16 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$86.1K Volume 03/11
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FAQ Pasar Pemilu

Mengapa pasar pemilu akurat?

Mereka memerlukan 'skin in the game' — orang-orang menaruh uang pada pandangan mereka, menyaring kebisingan berkualitas rendah. Semakin besar volumenya, semakin dapat diandalkan harganya.

Pasar pemilu mana yang sedang berlangsung sekarang?

AS 2028, Israel (berdasarkan tanggal), pemilihan lokal Inggris dan UE, serta pemilihan partai. Ikuti halaman kami untuk pembaruan.

Bagaimana cara saya menilai risiko di pasar pemilu?

Periksa likuiditas (kedalaman order-book), volatilitas historis, dan tanggal keputusan. Pasar dengan likuiditas tipis rentan terhadap penetapan harga yang tidak efisien.

Mulai Pelatihan Polymarket Secara Gratis
Perdagangkan pasar prediksi dengan uang virtual. Harga nyata, tanpa risiko. Bersaing di papan peringkat.
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Uang Virtual
500+
Pasar
$0
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