Wahlen Vorhersagemärkte

Wahlmärkte sind das Herzstück von Polymarket — US-Präsidentschaftswahlen, Parteivorwahlen, Kongresswahlen und jede Abstimmung in einer großen Demokratie. Die Wahlmärkte für die USA 2024 verzeichneten Milliarden an Volumen.

Die Preisgestaltung kombiniert Umfragen, Parteifinanzierungsdaten, wirtschaftliche Indikatoren und Berichterstattung — alles in einem Preis destilliert. Ein reichhaltiger Handelsplatz sowohl für Analysten als auch für meinungsgetriebene Investoren.

69 aktive Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%JaNein
$669.4M Vol 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2099%JaNein
July 2299%JaNein
$3M Vol 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%JaNein
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%JaNein
$115.2M Vol 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%JaNein
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%JaNein
$1.25B Vol 07/11
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%JaNein
$678.2M Vol 07/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
51%
Chance
Ja Nein
$614K Vol 03/01
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%JaNein
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%JaNein
$115.7M Vol 30/04
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot48%JaNein
Benjamin Netanyahu38%JaNein
$29M Vol 31/12
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone68%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%JaNein
$343.3K Vol 11/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3190%JaNein
September 3083%JaNein
$126.7K Vol
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%JaNein
$15.9M Vol 20/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro71%JaNein
Renan SantosRenan Santos18%JaNein
$4.2M Vol 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)97%JaNein
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%JaNein
$1.3M Vol 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%JaNein
CDUCDU28%JaNein
$3.1M Vol 20/09
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%JaNein
$21.2K Vol 03/11
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%JaNein
Aq JolAq Jol23%JaNein
$28.7K Vol 23/08
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%JaNein
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%JaNein
$2.7M Vol 30/06
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens20%JaNein
$1.2M Vol 04/08
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%JaNein
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%JaNein
$3.2M Vol 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican33%JaNein
$1.1M Vol 03/11
Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?
December 3144%JaNein
July 311%JaNein
$15.3K Vol 31/12
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%JaNein
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%JaNein
$102.4K Vol 14/08
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%JaNein
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%JaNein
$13M Vol 31/12
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%JaNein
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%JaNein
$40.4M Vol 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface72%JaNein
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%JaNein
$222.8K Vol 30/06
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%JaNein
$8.9K Vol 04/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%JaNein
$2.8M Vol 20/09
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV39%JaNein
AS37%JaNein
$158.9K Vol 03/10
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Troy Jackson99%JaNein
Graham Platner1%JaNein
$815.6K Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso82%JaNein
Kevin HermeningKevin Hermening8%JaNein
$6.5K Vol 11/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush57%JaNein
Wesley BellWesley Bell45%JaNein
$86K Vol 04/08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$100.9K Vol 30/09
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr74%JaNein
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist25%JaNein
$12.6K Vol 04/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins57%JaNein
James FishbackJames Fishback15%JaNein
$9.7K Vol 18/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%JaNein
R Senate, D House41%JaNein
$8.8M Vol 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei49%JaNein
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof47%JaNein
$364.6K Vol 24/10
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%JaNein
James FishbackJames Fishback2%JaNein
$2.1M Vol 18/08
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%JaNein
Evan PowerEvan Power26%JaNein
$6K Vol 18/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos68%JaNein
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%JaNein
$469.8K Vol 04/10
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%JaNein
Ginger MurrayGinger Murray4%JaNein
$5.8K Vol 11/08
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican14%JaNein
$76.5K Vol 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH63%JaNein
BNBN34%JaNein
$9.7K Vol 01/08
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%JaNein
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%JaNein
$5.3K Vol 11/08
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
UBJP77%JaNein
BFP21%JaNein
$29.7K Vol 14/09
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%JaNein
David Crowley9%JaNein
$209.7K Vol 11/08
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane46%JaNein
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%JaNein
$73.1K Vol 05/11
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%JaNein
Don LemonDon Lemon13%JaNein
$895.1K Vol 31/12
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%JaNein
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%JaNein
$3.3M Vol 03/11
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%JaNein
Feely 20–25%10%JaNein
$22.4K Vol 04/08
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%29%JaNein
50-53%19%JaNein
$30.3K Vol 20/09
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens6%JaNein
$6K Vol 04/08
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%34%JaNein
78-80%78-80%33%JaNein
$10.6K Vol 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%JaNein
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%JaNein
$3.3M Vol 13/09
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%JaNein
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%JaNein
$162.6K Vol 04/08
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%JaNein
Ken FujiyamaKen Fujiyama10%JaNein
$3.8K Vol 08/08
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%JaNein
Binface 10–20%31%JaNein
$118.2K Vol 30/06
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford93%JaNein
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%JaNein
$3.8K Vol 18/08
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%39%JaNein
Farage 70–80%27%JaNein
$84K Vol 30/06
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%36%JaNein
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%30%JaNein
$291.1K Vol 04/10
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig98%JaNein
Sian AstleySian Astley1%JaNein
$337.9K Vol 30/07
Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Josh GreenJosh Green97%JaNein
George Lucas-TadeoGeorge Lucas-Tadeo1%JaNein
$3.8K Vol 08/08
AZ-01 House Election WinnerAZ-01 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party65%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party30%JaNein
$4.2K Vol 04/11
HI-02 Democratic Primary WinnerHI-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Jill TokudaJill Tokuda96%JaNein
Greg GuithuesGreg Guithues2%JaNein
$3.4K Vol 08/08
Florida Democratic Senate Primary WinnerFlorida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander VindmanAlexander Vindman88%JaNein
Angie NixonAngie Nixon12%JaNein
$150.5K Vol 18/08
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
10%
Chance
Ja Nein
$33.9K Vol 31/07
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe52%JaNein
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson27%JaNein
$51.7K Vol 26/10
Nevada Governor Election WinnerNevada Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat52%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican49%JaNein
$41.3K Vol 03/11
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican32%JaNein
$128.8K Vol 03/11
MT-02 House Election WinnerMT-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%JaNein
Democratic Party7%JaNein
$36.2K Vol 03/11
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Welche Wahlmärkte sind jetzt live?

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