أسواق توقعات الانتخابات

أسواق الانتخابات هي جوهر بوليماركت - الانتخابات الرئاسية الأمريكية، الانتخابات التمهيدية الحزبية، سباقات الكونغرس، وأي تصويت في ديمقراطية كبرى. أسواق الانتخابات الأمريكية لعام 2024 سجلت مليارات في الحجم.

تجمع الأسعار بين استطلاعات الرأي، بيانات تمويل الأحزاب، المؤشرات الاقتصادية والتقارير - كل ذلك مصفى في سعر واحد. أرض غنية للتداول لكل من المحللين والمستثمرين المدفوعين بالآراء.

74 أسواق نشطة
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%نعملا
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%نعملا
$668.3M الحجم 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%نعملا
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%نعملا
$1.25B الحجم 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2099%نعملا
July 2296%نعملا
$1.7M الحجم 31/08
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance42%نعملا
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%نعملا
$677.6M الحجم 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%نعملا
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro25%نعملا
$114.4M الحجم 04/10
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%نعملا
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%نعملا
$115.5M الحجم 30/04
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot51%نعملا
Benjamin Netanyahu37%نعملا
$28.9M الحجم 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed79%نعملا
Haley Stevens22%نعملا
$1.1M الحجم 04/08
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%نعملا
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%نعملا
$15.8M الحجم 20/09
هل يغادر Netanyahu منصبه بحلول...؟هل يغادر Netanyahu منصبه بحلول...؟
December 3142%نعملا
July 311%نعملا
$60.1K الحجم 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3186%نعملا
September 3083%نعملا
$55.1K الحجم
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%نعملا
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%نعملا
$2.7M الحجم 30/06
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Troy Jackson99%نعملا
Jared Golden1%نعملا
$807.1K الحجم متبقي 6 أيام
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone71%نعملا
Ralph NormanRalph Norman17%نعملا
$286.9K الحجم 11/08
أي حزب سيفوز بمجلس النواب في 2026؟أي حزب سيفوز بمجلس النواب في 2026؟
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%نعملا
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%نعملا
$24.9K الحجم 03/11
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%38%نعملا
Farage 70–80%23%نعملا
$80K الحجم 30/06
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud58%نعملا
YasharYashar40%نعملا
$149.2K الحجم 27/10
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
38%
فرصة
نعم لا
$470.7K الحجم 03/01
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson78%نعملا
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%نعملا
$3.3M الحجم 13/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds96%نعملا
James Fishback3%نعملا
$2.1M الحجم 18/08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%نعملا
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom13%نعملا
$889.5K الحجم 31/12
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface60%نعملا
John StevensJohn Stevens14%نعملا
$205.5K الحجم 30/06
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%نعملا
Renan SantosRenan Santos12%نعملا
$4.2M الحجم 04/10
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%نعملا
R Senate, D House41%نعملا
$8.8M الحجم 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei48%نعملا
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof42%نعملا
$357K الحجم 24/10
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig98%نعملا
Geraldine CogginsGeraldine Coggins1%نعملا
$334.4K الحجم 30/07
TN-08 House Election WinnerTN-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party92%نعملا
Democratic Party7%نعملا
$29.4K الحجم 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)57%نعملا
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)44%نعملا
$611.4K الحجم 03/11
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke39%نعملا
CDUCDU29%نعملا
$3M الحجم 20/09
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%نعملا
RepublicanRepublican32%نعملا
$1M الحجم 03/11
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%نعملا
RepublicanRepublican32%نعملا
$1M الحجم 03/11
أي حزب سيفوز بمجلس الشيوخ في 2026؟أي حزب سيفوز بمجلس الشيوخ في 2026؟
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%نعملا
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%نعملا
$3.3M الحجم 03/11
South Ossetia Presidential Election WinnerSouth Ossetia Presidential Election Winner
Marat KambolovMarat Kambolov97%نعملا
Oleg KozaevOleg Kozaev1%نعملا
$8.6K الحجم 18/09
Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?
Thorsten FreiThorsten Frei95%نعملا
Carsten LinnemannCarsten Linnemann6%نعملا
$7.7K الحجم 29/07
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%نعملا
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile11%نعملا
$87.2K الحجم 14/08
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ73%نعملا
CAQCAQ15%نعملا
$690.1K الحجم 05/10
Likud Party Primary WinnerLikud Party Primary Winner
Amir OhanaAmir Ohana30%نعملا
No Primary by Knesset Election28%نعملا
$6.8K الحجم 26/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos64%نعملا
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%نعملا
$463.9K الحجم 04/10
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 15–20%52%نعملا
Feely 10–15%40%نعملا
$15.9K الحجم 04/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Haley Stevens52%نعملا
Abdul El-Sayed44%نعملا
$6.1K الحجم 04/08
Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Party WinnerCook Islands Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
Cook Islands PartyCook Islands Party88%نعملا
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party4%نعملا
$39.7K الحجم 12/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%نعملا
Mandela Barnes12%نعملا
$202.7K الحجم 11/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori Bush54%نعملا
Wesley Bell47%نعملا
$75.7K الحجم 04/08
Vermont Governor Election WinnerVermont Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican83%نعملا
DemocratDemocrat18%نعملا
$32.8K الحجم 03/11
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry24%نعملا
Ken SimKen Sim24%نعملا
$132.7K الحجم 17/10
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback <10%71%نعملا
Fishback 15–20%11%نعملا
$23.6K الحجم 18/08
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
97%
فرصة
نعم لا
$121.1K الحجم 15/08
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe53%نعملا
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson25%نعملا
$45.1K الحجم 26/10
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican71%نعملا
IndependentIndependent30%نعملا
$167.9K الحجم 03/11
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3014%
$94.6K الحجم 30/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%36%نعملا
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%28%نعملا
$287.4K الحجم 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS37%نعملا
LPV34%نعملا
$151.6K الحجم 03/10
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary WinnerArizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner
Kimberly Yee97%نعملا
Tom Horne2%نعملا
$12.6K الحجم ينتهي اليوم
MT-02 House Election WinnerMT-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%نعملا
Democratic Party6%نعملا
$33.4K الحجم 03/11
How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
5541%نعملا
5132%نعملا
$5.7K الحجم 01/01
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen86%نعملا
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe42%نعملا
$71.9K الحجم 30/04
NY-21 House Election WinnerNY-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party78%نعملا
Democratic Party21%نعملا
$46.5K الحجم 03/11
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%نعملا
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen90%نعملا
$230.8K الحجم 17/04
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH62%نعملا
BNBN36%نعملا
$3.3K الحجم 01/08
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich35%نعملا
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson30%نعملا
$1.1M الحجم 03/11
Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Bakir IzetbegovićBakir Izetbegović52%نعملا
Denis BećirovićDenis Bećirović49%نعملا
$35.2K الحجم 04/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%نعملا
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%نعملا
$2.8M الحجم 20/09
AZ-04 House Election WinnerAZ-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party87%نعملا
Republican Party14%نعملا
$23.3K الحجم 03/11
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 3111%
June 301%
$476.7K الحجم 31/12
IN-05 House Election WinnerIN-05 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%نعملا
Democratic Party15%نعملا
$24.2K الحجم 03/11
AZ-06 House Election WinnerAZ-06 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party78%نعملا
Republican PartyRepublican Party18%نعملا
$5.5K الحجم 04/11
Next Premier of QuebecNext Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre PlamondonPaul St-Pierre Plamondon70%نعملا
Christine FréchetteChristine Fréchette16%نعملا
$67.7K الحجم 05/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%نعملا
Democratic Party13%نعملا
$34.4K الحجم 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%نعملا
Republican Party6%نعملا
$15.2K الحجم 03/11
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli96%نعملا
Sonia BackèsSonia Backès1%نعملا
$54.5K الحجم 30/06
Arizona State Treasurer Republican Primary WinnerArizona State Treasurer Republican Primary Winner
Elijah Norton99%نعملا
Katherine Haley4%نعملا
$7.4K الحجم ينتهي اليوم
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)96%نعملا
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)3%نعملا
$1.2M الحجم 13/09
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Lisa Demuth53%نعملا
Mike Lindell42%نعملا
$451.3K الحجم 11/08
Guam Governor Republican Primary WinnerGuam Governor Republican Primary Winner
Vicente Ada70%نعملا
Frank F. Blas Jr.23%نعملا
$42.1K الحجم 01/08
تحميل المزيد على بوليماركت ←

أسئلة شائعة حول أسواق الانتخابات

لماذا تعتبر أسواق الانتخابات دقيقة؟

تتطلب 'جلد في اللعبة' - حيث يضع الناس أموالهم على آرائهم، مما يفلتر الضوضاء ذات الجودة المنخفضة. كلما زاد الحجم، زادت موثوقية السعر.

ما هي أسواق الانتخابات المتاحة الآن؟

الولايات المتحدة 2028، إسرائيل (حسب التاريخ)، الانتخابات المحلية في المملكة المتحدة والاتحاد الأوروبي، بالإضافة إلى الانتخابات التمهيدية الحزبية. تابع صفحتنا للحصول على التحديثات.

كيف يمكنني تسعير المخاطر في أسواق الانتخابات؟

تحقق من السيولة (عمق دفتر الطلبات)، التقلب التاريخي، وتاريخ القرار. الأسواق ذات السيولة الضعيفة عرضة لتسعير غير فعال.

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$1K
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500+
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$0
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