Seçim Tahmin Pazarları

Seçim pazarları Polymarket'in çekirdeğidir — ABD başkanlık, parti ön seçimleri, kongre yarışları ve herhangi bir büyük demokrasinin oyu. 2024 ABD seçim pazarları milyarlarca hacim kaydetti.

Fiyatlandırma, anketler, parti finans verileri, ekonomik göstergeler ve raporlamayı harmanlayarak tek bir fiyatta yoğunlaştırır. Hem analistler hem de görüş odaklı yatırımcılar için zengin bir ticaret alanı.

70 aktif pazarlar
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2099%EvetHayır
July 2299%EvetHayır
$2.9M Hacim 31/08
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%EvetHayır
$669.4M Hacim 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%EvetHayır
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%EvetHayır
$115.1M Hacim 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%EvetHayır
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%EvetHayır
$1.25B Hacim 07/11
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%EvetHayır
$678.1M Hacim 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%EvetHayır
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%EvetHayır
$115.7M Hacim 30/04
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot48%EvetHayır
Benjamin Netanyahu38%EvetHayır
$29M Hacim 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%EvetHayır
September 3083%EvetHayır
$122.8K Hacim
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone73%EvetHayır
Ralph NormanRalph Norman20%EvetHayır
$333.9K Hacim 11/08
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%EvetHayır
$15.9M Hacim 20/09
2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%EvetHayır
$26.4K Hacim 03/11
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke35%EvetHayır
CDUCDU28%EvetHayır
$3.1M Hacim 20/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds96%EvetHayır
James FishbackJames Fishback3%EvetHayır
$2.1M Hacim 18/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro71%EvetHayır
Renan SantosRenan Santos19%EvetHayır
$4.2M Hacim 04/10
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl51%EvetHayır
RespublicaRespublica21%EvetHayır
$27.7K Hacim 23/08
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%EvetHayır
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%EvetHayır
$2.7M Hacim 30/06
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)97%EvetHayır
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%EvetHayır
$1.3M Hacim 13/09
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%EvetHayır
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%EvetHayır
$3.2M Hacim 31/12
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%EvetHayır
RepublicanRepublican33%EvetHayır
$1.1M Hacim 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface71%EvetHayır
William CloustonWilliam Clouston11%EvetHayır
$222.6K Hacim 30/06
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%EvetHayır
$1.1M Hacim 04/08
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema90%EvetHayır
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%EvetHayır
$102.4K Hacim 14/08
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%EvetHayır
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%EvetHayır
$13M Hacim 31/12
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party90%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%EvetHayır
$8.9K Hacim 04/11
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%EvetHayır
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%EvetHayır
$40.4M Hacim 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush57%EvetHayır
Wesley BellWesley Bell45%EvetHayır
$85.2K Hacim 04/08
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Troy Jackson99%EvetHayır
Nirav Shah1%EvetHayır
$814.2K Hacim 5 gün kaldı
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV39%EvetHayır
AS37%EvetHayır
$158.9K Hacim 03/10
WI-07 Republican Primary WinnerWI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Michael AlfonsoMichael Alfonso82%EvetHayır
Kevin HermeningKevin Hermening10%EvetHayır
$6.5K Hacim 11/08
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)98%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%EvetHayır
$2.8M Hacim 20/09
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr69%EvetHayır
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist27%EvetHayır
$12.6K Hacim 04/08
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3013%
$100.9K Hacim 30/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay CollinsJay Collins70%EvetHayır
James FishbackJames Fishback14%EvetHayır
$9.7K Hacim 18/08
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei49%EvetHayır
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof47%EvetHayır
$364.6K Hacim 24/10
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe53%EvetHayır
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson27%EvetHayır
$51.7K Hacim 26/10
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong78%EvetHayır
David Crowley9%EvetHayır
$209.4K Hacim 11/08
AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of VictoryAZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Feely 10–15%97%EvetHayır
Feely 20–25%10%EvetHayır
$22.4K Hacim 04/08
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%EvetHayır
Evan PowerEvan Power26%EvetHayır
$5.9K Hacim 18/08
WI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Fred ClarkFred Clark85%EvetHayır
Ginger MurrayGinger Murray4%EvetHayır
$5.7K Hacim 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH62%EvetHayır
BNBN40%EvetHayır
$9.5K Hacim 01/08
WI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerWI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Mitchell BermanMitchell Berman88%EvetHayır
Lorenzo SantosLorenzo Santos6%EvetHayır
$5.3K Hacim 11/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos68%EvetHayır
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%EvetHayır
$469K Hacim 04/10
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats WonNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PLPL73%EvetHayır
MDBMDB20%EvetHayır
$289.6K Hacim 04/10
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
UBJP77%EvetHayır
BFP21%EvetHayır
$29.7K Hacim 14/09
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
Frank ChikaneFrank Chikane46%EvetHayır
Helen ZilleHelen Zille44%EvetHayır
$73.1K Hacim 05/11
2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%EvetHayır
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%EvetHayır
$3.3M Hacim 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election: TurnoutRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%29%EvetHayır
50-53%19%EvetHayır
$30.3K Hacim 20/09
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed94%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens5%EvetHayır
$6K Hacim 04/08
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg14%EvetHayır
Don LemonDon Lemon13%EvetHayır
$894.9K Hacim 31/12
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson80%EvetHayır
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%EvetHayır
$3.3M Hacim 13/09
New Zealand Election: TurnoutNew Zealand Election: Turnout
76-78%76-78%34%EvetHayır
78-80%78-80%33%EvetHayır
$10.6K Hacim 07/11
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton94%EvetHayır
Sandy Spidel NeumannSandy Spidel Neumann3%EvetHayır
$162.6K Hacim 04/08
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface <10%35%EvetHayır
Binface 10–20%31%EvetHayır
$118.1K Hacim 30/06
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%EvetHayır
R Senate, D House41%EvetHayır
$8.8M Hacim 03/11
Hawaii Governor Republican Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Republican Primary Winner
Gary CorderyGary Cordery81%EvetHayır
Ken FujiyamaKen Fujiyama10%EvetHayır
$3.8K Hacim 08/08
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
38%
şans
Evet Hayır
$474.4K Hacim 03/01
FL-05 Republican Primary WinnerFL-05 Republican Primary Winner
John RutherfordJohn Rutherford93%EvetHayır
Mark KayeMark Kaye3%EvetHayır
$3.8K Hacim 18/08
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Farage 60–70%42%EvetHayır
Farage 70–80%27%EvetHayır
$84K Hacim 30/06
Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3141%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$3.5K Hacim 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig98%EvetHayır
Sian AstleySian Astley1%EvetHayır
$337.9K Hacim 30/07
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
10%
şans
Evet Hayır
$33.9K Hacim 31/07
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%Lula da Silva 5-10%37%EvetHayır
Lula da Silva 10-15%Lula da Silva 10-15%31%EvetHayır
$290.8K Hacim 04/10
Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary WinnerHawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Josh GreenJosh Green97%EvetHayır
David BourgoinDavid Bourgoin1%EvetHayır
$3.8K Hacim 08/08
AZ-01 House Election WinnerAZ-01 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party66%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party30%EvetHayır
$4.2K Hacim 04/11
HI-02 Democratic Primary WinnerHI-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Jill TokudaJill Tokuda96%EvetHayır
Greg GuithuesGreg Guithues2%EvetHayır
$3.4K Hacim 08/08
Florida Democratic Senate Primary WinnerFlorida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander VindmanAlexander Vindman88%EvetHayır
Angie NixonAngie Nixon12%EvetHayır
$150.5K Hacim 18/08
Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?
Thorsten FreiThorsten Frei96%EvetHayır
Alexander HoffmannAlexander Hoffmann1%EvetHayır
$16.6K Hacim 7 gün kaldı
Nevada Governor Election WinnerNevada Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat52%EvetHayır
RepublicanRepublican49%EvetHayır
$41.3K Hacim 03/11
MT-02 House Election WinnerMT-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%EvetHayır
Democratic Party7%EvetHayır
$36.2K Hacim 03/11
Vermont Governor Democratic Primary WinnerVermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Aly Richards72%EvetHayır
Amanda Janoo24%EvetHayır
$85.3K Hacim 11/08
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Seçim Pazarları SSS

Seçim pazarları neden doğru?

İnsanların görüşleri üzerine para koymasını gerektirir — bu, düşük kaliteli gürültüyü filtreler. Hacim ne kadar büyükse, fiyat o kadar güvenilir olur.

Şu anda hangi seçim pazarları aktif?

ABD 2028, İsrail (tarihe göre), Birleşik Krallık ve AB yerel seçimleri, ayrıca parti ön seçimleri. Güncellemeler için sayfamızı takip edin.

Seçim pazarlarında riski nasıl fiyatlandırırım?

Likiditeyi (sipariş defteri derinliği), tarihsel volatiliteyi ve karar tarihini kontrol edin. İnce likiditeye sahip pazarlar verimsiz fiyatlamaya eğilimlidir.

Polymarket Eğitimini Ücretsiz Başlat
Sanal parayla tahmin piyasalarında işlem yapın. Gerçek fiyatlar, sıfır risk. Sıralamada yarışın.
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Sanal Bakiye
500+
Piyasalar
$0
Gerçek Risk
Daha fazla bilgi
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