Tech Prediction Markets

Tech prediction markets let you trade the future of the industry - which AI model ships next, whether a company hits an earnings or launch target, who acquires whom, and how the AI race unfolds. Each Polymarket price is a live probability, like a 65% chance a product launches before year-end.

Tech moves on announcements - keynotes, releases and earnings calls. If you follow the space closely, your edge is knowing the real timelines better than the crowd.

368 active markets
Inde NavarretteInde Navarrette90%YesNo
Jaafar JacksonJaafar Jackson67%YesNo
November 1570%YesNo
November 3055%YesNo
MetaMeta32%YesNo
BaiduBaidu21%YesNo
DeepSeekDeepSeek26%YesNo
Moonshot AIMoonshot AI19%YesNo
50%+98%YesNo
55%+94%YesNo
Inde NavarretteInde Navarrette58%YesNo
Jaafar JacksonJaafar Jackson20%YesNo
December 31, 202923%YesNo
December 31, 202818%YesNo
Dolly PartonDolly Parton59%YesNo
Hayden PanettiereHayden Panettiere26%YesNo
June 30, 202738%YesNo
March 31, 202731%YesNo
50%+13%YesNo
55%+13%YesNo
December 31, 202834%YesNo
December 31, 202721%YesNo
None in 2026None in 202635%YesNo
GoogleGoogle32%YesNo
December 31, 202832%YesNo
December 31, 202717%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic48%YesNo
GoogleGoogle38%YesNo
1510+84%YesNo
1520+52%YesNo
AlibabaAlibaba19%YesNo
MetaMeta17%YesNo
August 311%
December 314%
December 31, 202728%YesNo
December 31, 202613%YesNo
OpenAIOpenAI41%YesNo
GoogleGoogle27%YesNo
Ramsey Number R(5,5)27%YesNo
Hodge Conjecture26%YesNo
45%+73%YesNo
42%+73%YesNo
June 30, 2027?76%
March 31, 202754%
MiniMaxMiniMax49%YesNo
GoogleGoogle42%YesNo
December 31, 202833%YesNo
December 31, 202721%YesNo
No solution by Dec 31, 202738%YesNo
Yang-Mills21%YesNo
December 3174%
January 3175%
73% to 75%86%YesNo
75% to 77%12%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic63%YesNo
OpenAIOpenAI24%YesNo
↓ $4074%YesNo
↓ $3046%YesNo
October 314%
November 3077%
Lindsay ClancyLindsay Clancy40%YesNo
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%YesNo
AlibabaAlibaba39%YesNo
XiaomiXiaomi23%YesNo
$170 billion98%YesNo
$180 billion96%YesNo
LucidLucid10%YesNo
RivianRivian10%YesNo
December 3165%
January 3171%
December 3184%YesNo
November 1551%YesNo
75%49%YesNo
80%29%YesNo
55%+78%YesNo
60%+45%YesNo
October 311%
November 3068%
December 31, 20263%
December 31, 202770%
GoogleGoogle72%YesNo
KandinskyKandinsky15%YesNo
GoogleGoogle54%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic37%YesNo
775T+89%YesNo
725-775T11%YesNo
December 31, 202931%YesNo
December 31, 202821%YesNo

Tech Markets FAQ

What tech markets are on Polymarket?

AI model and product releases, big-tech earnings and milestones, IPOs and acquisitions, and the broader AI race (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and more).

How do tech markets resolve?

Against a clear public event by a stated date - an official launch, an earnings report or a confirmed deal. Read the resolution rules for the exact trigger.

Where is the edge in tech markets?

Knowing real ship dates and launch patterns. Companies routinely miss self-imposed deadlines, so realistic timelines beat hype.

Are 5-minute or hype markets worth trading?

Short-term hype markets are dominated by fast traders and news swings. Beginners do better on longer milestone markets where research pays off.

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