According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Yes is priced at 38% and No at 62%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 38% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $17.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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