According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Traders are split - 64% for Yes versus 37% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
At 64% implied for Yes, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (176 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $6.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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