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Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$8.2K Volume
30/06/2027 23:59
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DeepSeek
$4.6K Volume
44%
ByteDance
$3.2K Volume
26%
Xiaomi
$354 Volume
24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.

A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.

Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.

An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.

For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.

If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Even the leader is cheap - DeepSeek trades at 39%, ByteDance at 22%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is DeepSeek at 39% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027 market resolve?
Mark 30 Jun 2027 (344 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Traders have put $8.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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