This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
$170 billion
$626 Volume
99%
$180 billion
$5.5K Volume
99%
$190 billion
$4.6K Volume
99%
$200 billion
$4K Volume
94%
$210 billion
$1.2K Volume
75%
$220 billion
$1.9K Volume
55%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
$170 billion dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, $190 billion, trades at just 98%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
Traders price $170 billion at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Amazon 2026 capex above ___ market resolve?
Mark 30 Apr 2027 (274 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
$17.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Amazon 2026 capex above ___ on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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