This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
45%+
$3.6K Volume
95%
50%+
$9.1K Volume
61%
55%+
$2.4K Volume
40%
60%+
$5.2K Volume
18%
65%+
$454 Volume
5%
Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
The current front-runner is 45%+ at 94%, ahead of 50%+ at 61%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 94% chance for 45%+. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $20.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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