This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trump
· Trump Daily
· Culture
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
June 7
$24K Volume
98%
June 21
$1.5K Volume
94%
June 8
$5K Volume
94%
June 9
$1.3K Volume
94%
June 10
$693 Volume
94%
June 12
$1.2K Volume
93%
June 15
$2.3K Volume
93%
June 16
$154 Volume
93%
June 17
$138 Volume
93%
June 19
$133 Volume
93%
June 24
$16 Volume
93%
June 30
$33 Volume
93%
June 29
$777 Volume
92%
June 28
$157 Volume
92%
June 26
$72 Volume
92%
June 11
$490 Volume
92%
June 13
$334 Volume
92%
June 14
$399 Volume
92%
June 18
$578 Volume
92%
June 22
$12 Volume
92%
June 20
$153 Volume
92%
June 23
$27 Volume
92%
June 25
$56 Volume
92%
June 27
$40 Volume
92%
Resolved 5
June 2
$29.3K Volume
Yes
June 3
$47.8K Volume
Yes
June 4
$112.4K Volume
Yes
June 5
$34.2K Volume
Yes
June 6
$58.9K Volume
Yes
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