Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The prediction market focused on whether Donald Trump will publicly insult someone has reached a staggering 99.9% probability, reflecting strong trader confidence in his propensity for controversial remarks. With a trading volume of $344,000, this market underscores the significant public interest in Trump's communication style and its implications for political discourse. As Trump continues to engage with the media and his audience, this market serves as a barometer for his behavior and the potential impact on his public image and political capital.