Politics · virginia

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

$1.5K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
Yes is priced at 91% and No at 10%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
Traders currently imply a 91% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (70 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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