Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition?
Yes leads at 79% against 22% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition?
Traders lean toward Yes, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (117 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition?
Traders have put $62 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
