As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Neutrality initiative
$1.5K Volume
9%
Food initiative
$1.7K Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
Even the leader is cheap - Neutrality initiative trades at 9%, Food initiative at 5%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
No strong consensus yet: Neutrality initiative tops the implied probabilities at just 9%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 27 Sep 2026 (74 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
Total turnover stands at $5.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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