Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
Yes is priced at 41% and No at 60%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
Traders currently imply a 41% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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