Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
Yes leads at 72% against 29% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
The market makes Yes the favorite at 72%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (116 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition?
$55 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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