This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Past
Anthropic
$10.5K Volume
88%
Google
$9.5K Volume
9%
OpenAI
$5.3K Volume
4%
xAI
$4K Volume
1%
Meta
$4.4K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$5.6K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$5.4K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$5.3K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$4.9K Volume
1%
Mistral
$5.1K Volume
1%
Meituan
$4.1K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$5.2K Volume
1%
Amazon
$4.5K Volume
1%
Baidu
$4.5K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$4.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
Anthropic dominates the field at 87%; the nearest challenger, Google, trades at just 9%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
With 87% implied for Anthropic, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On) market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)?
$1.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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