This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Anthropic
$1.5K Volume
90%
Google
$1.2K Volume
9%
OpenAI
$794 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$344 Volume
1%
Meta
$650 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$547 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$599 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$521 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$430 Volume
1%
Baidu
$616 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$568 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$613 Volume
1%
Bytedance
$490 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$540 Volume
1%
Thinky
$330 Volume
1%
Meituan
$835 Volume
1%
Mistral
$330 Volume
1%
Amazon
$593 Volume
1%
Tencent
$638 Volume
1%
StepFun
$541 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$461 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)?
Anthropic dominates the field at 90%; the nearest challenger, Company A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)?
Traders price Anthropic at a 90% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On) market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (37 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)?
$4.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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