This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
1T–1.25T
$20.5K Volume
17%
1.25T–1.5T
$12K Volume
17%
1.5T+
$39.4K Volume
49%
<500B
$11.3K Volume
1%
500–750B
$15.1K Volume
1%
750B–1T
$21.1K Volume
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$29.8K Volume
9%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
The current front-runner is 1.5T+ at 48%, ahead of 1T–1.25T at 17%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
Traders currently imply a 48% chance for 1.5T+. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2027 (493 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
Total traded volume on this market is $6.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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