This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
1T–1.25T
$8.3K Volume
17%
1.25T–1.5T
$4.1K Volume
22%
1.5T+
$15.3K Volume
37%
<500B
$2.9K Volume
2%
500–750B
$4.3K Volume
2%
750B–1T
$4.1K Volume
13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$16K Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
The field is wide open: 1.5T+ tops it at just 36%, with 1.25T–1.5T close behind at 22%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
No strong consensus yet: 1.5T+ tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2027 (539 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap?
$3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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