This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
July 31
$2.7K Volume
3%
Resolved 1
June 30
$92.2K Volume
No
Analysis & News
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Gemini 4.0 released by?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Gemini 4.0 released by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Gemini 4.0 released by market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Gemini 4.0 released by?
$94.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Gemini 4.0 released by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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