This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Anthropic
$6.7K Volume
87%
Meta
$229 Volume
7%
OpenAI
$239 Volume
5%
Google
$209 Volume
6%
Moonshot
$319 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$287 Volume
4%
Z.ai
$327 Volume
1%
Baidu
$119 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$383 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$209 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$235 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$263 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$290 Volume
1%
Thinky
$247 Volume
1%
Meituan
$247 Volume
1%
Mistral
$249 Volume
1%
Amazon
$243 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$243 Volume
1%
Tencent
$247 Volume
1%
StepFun
$248 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$245 Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
The current front-runner is Anthropic at 86%, ahead of Company A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
Traders currently imply a 86% chance for Anthropic. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On) market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
Total traded volume on this market is $384, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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