AI · Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

$68.5K Volume
30/09/2026 23:59
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Anthropic
$1.8K Volume
85%
Google
$455 Volume
8%
OpenAI
$479 Volume
8%
SpaceXAI
$321 Volume
2%
Meta
$238 Volume
2%
Alibaba
$149 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$352 Volume
5%
Baidu
$331 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$164 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$252 Volume
1%
Amazon
$167 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$232 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$226 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$164 Volume
1%
Mistral
$232 Volume
1%
Meituan
$164 Volume
1%
Tencent
$237 Volume
1%
StepFun
$162 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$200 Volume
1%
Thinky
$146 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$167 Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution Source: arena.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic leads the field at 85%, with Company A next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
The market makes Anthropic the favorite at 85%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Which company has the best AI model end of September market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (71 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Traders have put $68.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which company has the best AI model end of September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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