The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
↓ 0%
$17.3K Volume
2%
↓ 0.25%
$129.1K Volume
2%
↓ 0.5%
$104.4K Volume
2%
↓ 0.75%
$731 Volume
5%
↓ 1.0%
$2.1K Volume
2%
↓ 1.25%
$3.3K Volume
6%
↓ 1.5%
$27.8K Volume
1%
↓ 1.75%
$10.4K Volume
3%
↓ 2.0%
$18.5K Volume
4%
↓ 2.25%
$34.5K Volume
5%
↓ 2.5%
$205.5K Volume
4%
↓ 2.75%
$339.1K Volume
2%
↓ 3.0%
$291.4K Volume
3%
↓ 3.25%
$80K Volume
16%
↑ 4.25%
$94.7K Volume
29%
↑ 4.5%
$23.9K Volume
18%
↑ 4.75%
$78.7K Volume
6%
↑ 5.0%
$16.8K Volume
4%
↑ 5.25%
$142.2K Volume
3%
↑ 5.5%
$51.3K Volume
3%
Resolved 1
↓ 3.5%
$9K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Even the leader is cheap - ↑ 4.25% trades at 28%, ↑ 4.5% at 15%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is ↑ 4.25% at 28% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the What will Fed Rate hit before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade What will Fed Rate hit before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
No change74%YesNo25 bps increase25%YesNo25 bps increase49%YesNoNo change42%YesNo
Other60%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause38%YesNo
0 (0 bps)85%YesNo
1 (25 bps)11%YesNo
October Meeting68%YesNo
September Meeting62%YesNo
Other72%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause26%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause73%YesNo
Other27%YesNo
