The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Jerome Powell
· Macro Indicators
· Economy
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.25%
$74.4K Volume
25%
↑ 4.25%
$32K Volume
13%
↓ 3.0%
$267.6K Volume
9%
↑ 4.5%
$17.2K Volume
7%
↓ 2.75%
$324.6K Volume
5%
↓ 1.75%
$9.7K Volume
5%
↓ 1.5%
$27.1K Volume
5%
↓ 0.25%
$124.6K Volume
5%
↓ 2.5%
$197K Volume
5%
↓ 0.5%
$100.7K Volume
5%
↓ 1.25%
$1.9K Volume
5%
↑ 5.0%
$13.7K Volume
5%
↓ 0%
$15.5K Volume
4%
↑ 4.75%
$77.5K Volume
4%
↓ 2.25%
$31.8K Volume
4%
↓ 1.0%
$1.9K Volume
4%
↑ 5.5%
$48K Volume
4%
↑ 5.25%
$141.5K Volume
3%
↓ 2.0%
$18.2K Volume
2%
↓ 0.75%
$393 Volume
2%
Resolved 1
↓ 3.5%
$9K Volume
Yes
About This Market
Similar Markets
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Yes 81¢No 19¢
1 (25 bps)
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Fed Decision in July?
No change
Yes 94¢No 6¢
25 bps increase
Yes 4¢No 96¢
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Other
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
Yes 23¢No 77¢
October Meeting
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Fed Decision in September?
No change
Yes 76¢No 24¢
25 bps increase
Yes 19¢No 81¢
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 301%
December 3140%
