This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Mexico Cartel War
· mencho
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...? (Resolved)
January 31
$243K Volume
99%
March 31
$112.6K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
When does the U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...? (Resolved)?
$20.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
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