This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Geopolitics
· drugs
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31? (Resolved)
Yes
$36.8K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
When does the U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31? (Resolved)?
$20.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
Similar Markets
July 2099%YesNo
July 2295%YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei74%YesNo
No Head of State8%YesNo
August 3155%YesNo
August 1442%YesNo
July 3199%
December 3199%
August 3135%YesNo
August 1529%YesNo
August 1515%YesNo
July 319%YesNo
August 3167%YesNo
August 1556%YesNo
