This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquรญn "El Chapo" Guzmรกn, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
Politics
mencho
Mexico
Mexico Cartel War
Geopolitics
Yes Probability
2%
No Probability
98%
Trading Volume
$4.8K
Time Remaining
8 days left
June 30
$15.2K Volume
48%
April 30
$48.1K Volume
10%
1 Options resolved